eqANR · JCJC
EQUR-XSM

EQUR-XSM · RESEARCH PROGRAMME

The project

Project overview

EQUR-XSM investigates how medical-image AI can communicate both its predictions and their reliability. It combines uncertainty estimation, confidence calibration and visual explanations, with applications in classification and segmentation. Led by Dawood Al Chanti at GIPSA-lab, this ANR JCJC project runs from October 2025 to October 2029.

Scientific summary

A medical-image model can produce an incorrect prediction with high confidence. A visual explanation alone does not resolve this problem: highlighting a region does not establish that the explanation is reliable. EQUR-XSM addresses these connected challenges by studying uncertainty in predictions and in the saliency maps used to explain them.

The project builds on Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) to estimate uncertainty and improve confidence calibration. It also investigates saliency maps enriched with pixel-wise uncertainty, aiming to provide information about influential image regions and the reliability of their interpretation.

A further objective is to combine complementary imaging modalities, such as MRI and CT, while accounting for the uncertainty associated with each input. The programme extends from image classification to single-modality and multimodal segmentation, targeting applications involving tumours, skeletal muscle abnormalities and haematological diseases.

Planned evaluation includes open datasets and clinical collaboration with the university hospitals of Grenoble and Nantes. The intended contribution is a set of methods for better-calibrated predictions, uncertainty-aware explanations and more reliable multimodal analysis. These are research objectives; clinical benefit remains to be established.

Project descriptions: ANR · GIPSA-lab.

Research programme

Two scientific work packages are supported by project coordination (WP0). The planned schedule is expressed in months from the October 2025 start.

WP1

Months 0–36

Uncertainty, calibration and evidence-based explanations

WP1.1: investigate uncertainty-aware training objectives, adaptive priors and calibration strategies, including approaches to hyperparameter optimisation.

WP1.2: investigate evidence-based saliency maps and uncertainty-aware recalibration of visual explanations.

WP2

Months 30–48

Pixel-wise uncertainty and modality-aware fusion

Extend the framework to single-modality and multimodal segmentation. Investigate how local uncertainty can guide the contribution of each modality to the fused prediction.

Three application settings

A1

Image classification

Assess predictive uncertainty, calibration and visual explanations in medical-image classification.

A2

Single-modality segmentation

Estimate uncertainty at the pixel level, with skeletal muscle analysis among the proposed clinical applications.

A3

Multimodal segmentation

Study evidential fusion and modality-specific reliability for complementary imaging inputs.

Work packages and application settings: accepted EQUR-XSM proposal (ANR JCJC 2025).